Arctic and Global Prediction Program

The Office of Naval Research (ONR) Arctic and Global Prediction Program is motivated by the rapid decline in summer ice extent that has occurred in recent years. This has prompted renewed Department of Navy interest in understanding and predicting the Arctic physical environment at a variety of time and space scales. The ability to predict the location of the ice edge, the space-time evolution of the ice cover, and the ice thickness will be particularly critical to safe naval operations in the Arctic. To achieve this, models integrating the ocean, waves, ice and atmosphere must be able to represent the physical processes, interactions and feedbacks involved in the seasonal evolution of ice extent, area, thickness and volume. Consequently, the program has three focus areas:

  • Developing integrated ocean-ice-wave-atmosphere Earth System models for improved prediction at a variety of time scales
  • Improving understanding of the physical environment and processes in the Arctic Ocean
  • Investigating new technologies, e.g., sensors, platforms and communications, for sustained operation and observation in the challenging Arctic environment

The Arctic and Global Prediction Program is always interested in receiving planning letters for research that addresses these focus areas. However, for funding beginning in FY14 (starts Oct. 1, 2013), the program is particularly interested in the following topics:

  • Deriving geophysical information and process understanding from declassified, high-resolution visible band imagery (e.g., Kwok and Untersteiner, 2011).
  • High-precision GPS for investigating the dynamics of sea ice, ocean and atmosphere.
  • Processes controlling upper ocean heat content and oceanic heat flux to the underside of the ice. 

In addition, the program anticipates research opportunities on other Arctic topics later in FY13 in collaboration with other federal agencies via the National Ocean Partnership Program (NOPP).

The purpose of planning letters is to allow prospective investigators to submit a brief description of their scientific ideas so that we may evaluate them and offer programmatic and technical feedback before time is invested in writing a full proposal. This allows us to give you some indication of the likely success of a full proposal based on program interests and priorities. Planning letters for research to be supported by core funds beginning in FY14 should be prepared according to the guidelines and submitted no later than March 22, 2013.

An important criterion we use in our review process is program priority. If we are already funding a number of significant efforts in a particular area, the addition of more work on that topic may be of lower priority than adding new research efforts on a topic in which we have few funded projects. Thus, prospective investigators should note that the Arctic and Global Prediction Program now has two, five-year Departmental Research Initiatives: “Emerging Dynamics of the Marginal Ice Zone” and “Sea State and Boundary Layer Physics of the Emerging Arctic Ocean.”

The Arctic and Global Prediction Program is committed to contributing to Navy STEM (Science, Technology and Mathematics) education efforts, particularly the education of the next generation of scientists specializing in the physics of the Arctic Ocean system. Investigators are encouraged to include students (undergraduate and graduate) and post-doctoral researchers in their research plans. As part of this commitment, the program will also consider requests for Early Student Support (ESS) to assist beginning graduate students working with ONR-funded investigators. For more information, prospective investigators should contact Dr. Martin Jeffries.

Program Contact Information

Name: Dr. Martin Jeffries

Title: Program Officer and Science Advisor

Department: Code 32

Division: Ocean Atmosphere and Space Research



Office of Naval Research
875 N. Randolph Street
Arlington, Va. 22203

Program Funding

Science, Technology, Engineering & Mathematics Education, Outreach and Workforce Program 15-0002

FOA-15-0002 (PDF - 362.88 KB)

Published: October 21, 2014 02:08 PM EST | Full Proposals will be accepted until September 30, 2015 12:00 AM EST
White Papers due no later than February 28, 2015 12:00 AM EST

Long Range Broad Agency Announcement (BAA) for Navy and Marine Corps Science and Technology 15-001

15-001 (PDF - 1.07 MB)

Amendment 0001 (PDF - 1.07 MB)

Published: September 29, 2014 11:22 AM EST | Full Proposals will be accepted until September 30, 2015 03:00 PM EST

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